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| Bit on Balius @ 9/4 W/O fav in a single and 9/2 outright am due a bad Saturday though
Can't believe Kite Wood is 7/4 V Sans Frontieres 9/2 even without Dangerous Midge, Sans could really be a very very good horse and could progress even more from that last run, got to respect Kite Wood and the others but 7/4 is silly [size=50watch it romp home[/size
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| Kite Wood won this race with a lot to spare last year and was made favourite for the Leger due to his style of win. Was against better rivals that day and I think with the rain coming it'll be another flying dismount Saturday to follow last week. Carries a stone more today but taking into account the opposition and he is on his favoured ground I don't see that as a problem. Will be having a nice little bet on Kite Wood. Little the appropriate word, was only a tenner.
I like Zaidan but not sure about this Native Khan, could be anything, so inclined to leave that one alone - along with the Hungerford. No future Paco Boy in the line-up and looks very open. Got a fiver on Ouqba.
In the 2.00 at Newbury this will be the softest ground any of them have faced. Zaidan and Native Khan top the betting by a mile, but who knows if they will go on the surface.
Bets today currently Kite Wood and Bated Breath, going to see what else looks like going in. Might take Tajneed as Pricewise is in belting form of late, try and find one more for a lucky15.
I like Classic Punch in the 4.30 at Newmarket. In this 5 runner field, he could easily dictate from the front again on a track he loves - the soft ground could make it hard to peg him back as well.
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| The only thing worries me for Sans Frontieres is the ground, its a Group 1 horse and Noseda knows it.
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| Something a miss with Zaidan maybe the ground
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| Quote ="Wire_85"Something a miss with Zaidan maybe the ground'"
That was why I avoided the race, certainly expected him to be placed - must be the ground.
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| Quote ="Wire_85"The only thing worries me for Sans Frontieres is the ground, its a Group 1 horse and Noseda knows it.'"
Aye, didn't quite realise how handy his 3y-o form read until today.
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| My bets for today are Kite Wood in a single, Ouqba in a single, and Tajneed, Bated Breath, Classic Punch and Ouqba in a L15.
Really like Ouqba and now the race has lost a few he looks to have a good chance.
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| A few I like today ...
Witchry 2.45 Newmarket
Bagamoyo 3.20 Newmarket
Tajneed 3.30 Ripon
Manassas 3.40 Newbury
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| Quote ="andym1988"My bets for today are Kite Wood in a single, Ouqba in a single, and Tajneed, Bated Breath, Classic Punch and Ouqba in a L15.
Really like Ouqba and now the race has lost a few he looks to have a good chance.'"
Of the above I certainly couldn't put anyone off Kite Wood and Ouqba.
TBH I'd love to see Traffic Guard (4.30 Newmarket) register an overdue success.
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| Had a big dollop on Bated Breath this morning.
Ground could be a big problem as it's continued to p!ss down.
I'd have my stake back if I could.
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| San Frontieres was excellent. Kite Wood weakened again and was eased.
SF drifted into Laheb but won't affect the result.
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| Quote ="andym1988"San Frontieres was excellent. Kite Wood weakened again and was eased.
SF drifted into Laheb but won't affect the result.'"
Kite Wood awful ... beaten fully 3 furlongs out after Suroor had said pre-race that there were no excuses today.
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| Weakened when asked to go for home - must be something a miss. He obviously likes the ground and the course.
Noseda just said he didn't think SF had much of a chance of handling the ground. One thing learned today - don't listen to Jeremy Noseda.
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| Quote ="Wanderer"Kite Wood awful ... beaten fully 3 furlongs out after Suroor had said pre-race that there were no excuses today.
'"
Cost them millions when they bought it out of the Jarvis yard.
It was Godolphin's way of tapping into the Coolmore bloodline as it's a Galileo colt.
Hasn't really done the biz on the track.
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| A crap ride from Fortune!
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| Quote ="brearley84"smarty socks.4.00 got a nice weight today, going up in class mind but if getting a decent start should be bang there at the end'"
Great call.
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| Quote ="Wanderer"TBH I'd love to see Traffic Guard (4.30 Newmarket) register an overdue success.'"
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| Oi Oi
Great shout 84 as well
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| Quote ="andym1988"San Frontieres was excellent. Kite Wood weakened again and was eased.
SF drifted into Laheb but won't affect the result.'"
Group 1 horse
About time it paid me third time I have backed it this year.
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| Goldikova 4/6 will probs win tomorrow but I have been crap at picking low odds horses lately so don't really want to get involved at that price, Paco Boy 5/2 ran it real close last time but worried about the very soft ground so that leads to me to Makfi 17/2 could be the one @ E/W value seems to have been forgotten about after the flop in the St James's Palace Stakes (throat infection) I still think this is one top class horse that Carney spotted and that 2,000 Guineas win was no fluke.
Also
Quote "Christophe Soumillon is on board. He works the horse at home so knows him."'"
Quote "He should be fit for the race and he doesn't mind the ground. If it rains it will be no problem for him.'"
On Paco Boy and the ground
Quote Hannon said: "He's going for the Jacques Le Marois but I've put him in the Maurice de Gheest just in case. If it goes soft in Deauville we might think about it."'"
On the Racing Post full result for Vision D'Etat's win the ground is described as very soft.
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| Only had starla dancer at Ripon. Get outta jail that, £20 down for the.day
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| Martinez 9/4 with Ladbrokes to be the nest Manager to leave the PL.
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| Not keen on Goldikova at 7f. She ran in a 7f race last October and I had a few grand on, only to see the trip was evidently too short and she easily got beat going for the line.
Paco Boy was regarded as a '7f horse' for ages, until he won at a mile despite excellent efforts in defeat. If he is ever going to beat the wonder-mare, this is his day.
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| Its not 7f its the mile
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| I would be very interested in Paco Boy as Hughes nearly did the mare last last but gave it just ahead start but I have read today "particularly as the ground will be to his advantage" and also "I don't want it too soft".
So you hear "Rain turned the ground at Deauville to ‘very soft to holding’ on Saturday morning, but the sun emerged in the afternoon. A mixture of sunshine and showers is forecast for Sunday"
which is it?
Makfi 17/2 E/W for me 11/4 W/O Goldikova
Dundalk 2.15 Bank On Black @ 2.8
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