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| Quote ="BogBrushHead"You mean when he calculated that Abbey, A&L, and B&B were completely worthless ...'"
No.
I was, as Mintball said, referring to the banking meltdown of 2008.
As it happens, your description doesn't appear to tie in with Abbey's [uagreement[/u to merge with Santander in an £8bn deal in 2004 or Santander's [utakeover[/u of Alliance & Leicester's for £1.3bn in 2008 or the £150m that Santander paid for B&B's savings accounts and branches after B&B went absobloodylutelytitsup.
It sounds like you would argue that the valuations that were made were less than they were worth ... but those were the deals and share values can go down as well as up.
I'd suggest that's worthy of a thread of its own if you want to debate it.
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| Quote ="BiffasBoys"
Let's all blame Lehmann Brothers. No hang on let's do what every Labour politician has done and blame the bankers. That old chestnut. Sorry, I meant scapegoat. Where is Gordon Brown these days?
'"
Why shouldn't we blame banks and financial institutions for a banking and financial crisis?
Will you please answer the question, do you think the Labour governments policies caused Lehmann Brothers to fail?
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
debt/gdp ratio =-fiscal policy = credit rating = cost of borrowing '"
no it doesn't. it really doesn't.
the yield rates ARE the cost of borrowing. All debt to GDP ratios and credit ratings are are indicators for those willing to lend.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
You seem to want to avoid the fact that current rates are 3% - double what you quote on 10 year bonds. Doesn't suit your argument? '"
I didnt avoid it at all. In fact I specifically mentioned that rates had risen. Talking about not suiting your argument, when was the last time before 2012 that rates were at or lower than 3%?
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
Instead of just quoting selected newspapers reports, why not use actual statistics? '"
Ok. From Q2 2010 to Q2 2013 public sector employment fell by roughly 650,000.
The percentage of people in employment who work in the public sector is at the lowest since records began.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
Has the U.S model worked? In what regard? '"
In the regard that the economy grew significantly, retail sales went through the roof. As did industrial production, business confidence, exports, balance of trade, and wages. Whilst unemployment has fallen by around a third.
Quote ="BiffasBoys" What demand was filled? '"
The demand gap in, partly, consumer spending. Post crash consumer spending fell by around $200bn. It is now $700bn higher. It also helps bridge the gap for businesses. Post crash capacity utilisation fell by 15%.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"This fascination with the U.S is bizarre. It's similarity to the UK economy is? '"
Why? Because it doesn't back up your argument?
It's similarity to the UK is that it's a first world, developed, democratic, capitalist country with an economy that suffered from the financial crash and is largely dependent on consumer spending that took a radically different approach to the crisis.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
That is absolute tosh. The net effect was zero & it cost £12bn in receipts. That's why it didn't last. '"
If the net effect was zero how did it cost £12bn in receipts?
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
Tax rises aren't ideal, but it doesn't impact greatly & is raising billions. '"
A tax on consumption in a consumer economy? A VAT rise during a recession is economic madness.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
That's brilliant economics. Cut your tax take & borrow more '"
It's not brilliant. It's basic economics in a recession. Ask FDR.
It's also exactly what the US did.
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| Quote ="Mintball"I don't think that was what either El Barbudo or Him were meaning.
I think that they were referring not to what happened after the onset of the financial crisis, but what caused the financial crisis in the first place – hence mentions of Lehman Brothers etc.
The matter of how Brown handled the immediate aftermath is still up for debate, although some analysts have suggested that Brown's actions after the crisis hit, and the speed of them, possibly avoided the situation becoming worse – maybe even up to a full-scale depression.'"
Brown got it badly wrong all round. His dismantling of the regulatory framework & taking away control of interest rate from Bof E created the disaster. He doubled public spending on the back of tax receipts from the banks he cut loose. He then spent our money trying to cover his mess up when the crash hit.
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| Quote ="Him"Why shouldn't we blame banks and financial institutions for a banking and financial crisis?
Will you please answer the question, do you think the Labour governments policies caused Lehmann Brothers to fail?
Quote Who was it that created the framework the banks worked in? Who was it who took interest rate control away from the B of E so they remained artificially low & didn't rise to take the heat out of the economy?'"
no it doesn't.
it really doesn't.
the yield rates ARE the cost of borrowing. All debt to GDP ratios and credit ratings are are indicators for those willing to lend.
Quote One leads to the other to the other'"
I didnt avoid it at all. In fact I specifically mentioned that rates had risen. Talking about not suiting your argument, when was the last time before 2012 that rates were at or lower than 3%?
Quote We're not in 2012, we're in the back end of 2013'"
Ok. From Q2 2010 to Q2 2013 public sector employment fell by roughly 650,000.
The percentage of people in employment who work in the public sector is at the lowest since records began.
Quote Absolute tosh'"
In the regard that the economy grew significantly, retail sales went through the roof. As did industrial production, business confidence, exports, balance of trade, and wages. Whilst unemployment has fallen by around a third.
Quote No it didn't. The VAT cut did nothing other than cost money'"
The demand gap in, partly, consumer spending. Post crash consumer spending fell by around $200bn. It is now $700bn higher. It also helps bridge the gap for businesses. Post crash capacity utilisation fell by 15%.
Quote More utter garbage'"
Why? Because it doesn't back up your argument?
It's similarity to the UK is that it's a first world, developed, democratic, capitalist country with an economy that suffered from the financial crash and is largely dependent on consumer spending that took a radically different approach to the crisis.
Quote None of those points are actually relevant. You really don't know what you're talking about'"
If the net effect was zero how did it cost £12bn in receipts?
Quote You said it created growth. It didn't. The net effect on growth was zero.'"
A tax on consumption in a consumer economy? A VAT rise during a recession is economic madness.
Quote Why is it madness? What effect has it had on consumer spending?'"
It's not brilliant. It's basic economics in a recession. Ask FDR.
It's also exactly what the US did
Quote There you go again with the USA obsession & comparing an entirely different economic structure'"
.'"
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| Quote ="Mintball"[url=http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24149763One in three behind on rent since housing benefit changes.[/url
So, an unmitigated success.'"
No actual facts in there. Just a survey from the TUC.
The housing benefit bill is £24bn a year & costs each & every taxpayer £700 a year.
The spare room subsidy exists in private rented accommodation. There is a fixed amount of housing stock that needs to be allocated according need & to ensure taxpayers money isn't spent unnecessarily.
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| Quote ="BiffasBoys"The spare room subsidy exists in private rented accommodation.'"
No it doesn't.
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| Quote ="BiffasBoys"
Who was it that created the framework the banks worked in? '"
Which framework? We were talking about Lehmann Brothers. If you mean the UK then it was successive UK governments of both parties.
Can you answer the question please? This is the third time of asking. Which Labour government policy or decision caused Lehmann Brothers to fail?
Quote ="BiffasBoys"Who was it who took interest rate control away from the B of E so they remained artificially low & didn't rise to take the heat out of the economy? '"
No-one. The Bank of England sets the interest rate. They had no need to rise. The economy wasn't out of control. The financial sector was.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"One leads to the other to the other '"
Not necessarily. As I said, they are indicators for investors nothing more. Plus you're not taking into account the relative effect compared to other countries. The UK had warnings and negative outlooks from credit rating agencies in 2009 and 2010. The UK's debt to GDP ratio and borrowing to GDP ratio both increased over this time. Yet the yield rates went down.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
We're not in 2012, we're in the back end of 2013 '"
So you don't know then? If you don't know why do you think a rate of 3% is bad? If you do know then just tell us.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
Absolute tosh '"
Why do you say that? Do you dispute the figures? What do you think the official figures actually are then? Because those figures come from what I would describe as a reputable source.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
No it didn't. The VAT cut did nothing other than cost money '"
What are you on about? You really are getting confused aren't you? We were talking about the US economy.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
More utter garbage '"
Why do you say it's garbage? Do you dispute the figures? Or do you not understand them?
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
None of those points are actually relevant. You really don't know what you're talking about '"
Well I know that debt to GDP isn't the cost of borrowing. So that's something eh I also know that you're frantically stumbling your way around this like a wasted Stevie Wonder in the middle of an earthquake.
If those points aren't relevant, then what points would be in determining relative similarity between nations economies?
Try answering a question for a change.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
You said it created growth. It didn't. The net effect on growth was zero. '"
You didn't say that. You said the net effect was zero. Which it can't have been if it cost £12bn in receipts. Which is it? Or did you mess that up too?
Either way the IFS, CEBR, CRR and plenty of businesses and directors disagree with you about the effects of VAT reductions and rises.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
Why is it madness? What effect has it had on consumer spending? '"
Consumer spending decreased. It depressed growth by around 0.3% and cost jobs.
Quote ="BiffasBoys"
There you go again with the USA obsession & comparing an entirely different economic structure '"
Excuse me? I didn't compare the USA with any other nation in that quote. You were saying expansionary fiscal policy in a time of recession wasn't a good idea. I was saying it is but backing it up with 2 examples.
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| Quote ="BiffasBoys"Absolute tosh'"
As predicted.
You deny official stats, don't know that yield rate is the cost of borrowing, refuse to accept that stimulus pulled the US out of the mire, think that the entire Western banking crisis was Brown's fault, deny the reductions in public sector staffing, don't accept that supply versus demand affects price, cover your lack of insight with irrelevant questions but ignore questions asked of you ... etc etc ... and, when proved utterly wrong, you respond with "Absolute tosh".
It's over, give it up.
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| Quote ="BiffasBoys"Brown got it badly wrong all round. His dismantling of the regulatory framework & taking away control of interest rate from Bof E created the disaster...'"
So Brown was to blame for Lehman Brothers etc? And the financial crisis in the UK was completely isolated and unconnected from the global financial crisis?
Quote ="BiffasBoys"No actual facts in there. Just a survey from the TUC...'"
Yerr ... 'cos that there TUC only got data from them there councils, and them there councils all told porkies so those aren't facts ...
Yerr ...
If you try harder, you might manage to avoid looking like such a complete twerp.
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| Quote ="Him"... Can you answer the question please? This is the third time of asking ...'"
No, no: that's wrong. He never ever dodges questions. And he asserts this, so it must be true.
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| Quote ="Mintball"No, no: that's wrong. He never ever dodges questions. And he asserts this, so it must be true.'"
Is he Iain Duncan Smith?
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| Quote ="cod'ead"Is he Iain Duncan Smith?'"
If he believes it to be true ...
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| Quote ="El Barbudo"As predicted.
You deny official stats, don't know that yield rate is the cost of borrowing, refuse to accept that stimulus pulled the US out of the mire, think that the entire Western banking crisis was Brown's fault, deny the reductions in public sector staffing, don't accept that supply versus demand affects price, cover your lack of insight with irrelevant questions but ignore questions asked of you ... etc etc ... and, when proved utterly wrong, you respond with "Absolute tosh".
It's over, give it up.'"
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| Quote ="Mintball"No, no: that's wrong. He never ever dodges questions. And he asserts this, so it must be true.'"
Obviously. I assume his next argument will be that Labour "overspent" and that's why the economy failed.
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| Quote ="Him"Obviously. I assume his next argument will be that Labour "overspent" and that's why the economy failed.'"
Well they did build up a deficit in boom years.
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| Quote ="Ajw71"Well they did build up a deficit in boom years.
'"
Since all governments run deficits, they were just following the likes of Maggie. Thus you should approve.
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| Quote ="Mintball"Since all governments run deficits, they were just following the likes of Maggie. Thus you should approve.'"
Not the Labour government from 1998 to 2001.
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| Quote ="Ajw71"Well they did build up a deficit in boom years.
'"
They did indeed.
To about the same level that the Major government left them with.
Quote ="Ajw71"Not the Labour government from 1998 to 2001.'"
That's also true.
TBF the Conservative government also briefly ran a surplus 1988-89.
But, generally speaking, Mintball was correct.
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| Quote ="Mintball"Since all governments run deficits, they were just following the likes of Maggie. Thus you should approve.'"
She had the income from North Sea Oil (to begin with) and then the funds from selling-off British Gas, British Airways, British Aerospace, British Airports, BP, Britoil, Enterprise Oil, British Steel, the Docks, British Telecom, Jaguar Land Rover, Rolls Royce (aero engines), Cable and Wireless, 10 Water Boards, Electricity generating, Electricity distribution and Amersham International ... plus more.
And still ran a deficit.
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| Quote ="El Barbudo"She had the income from North Sea Oil (to begin with) and then the funds from selling-off British Gas, British Airways, British Aerospace, British Airports, BP, Britoil, Enterprise Oil, British Steel, the Docks, British Telecom, Jaguar Land Rover, Rolls Royce (aero engines), Cable and Wireless, 10 Water Boards, Electricity generating, Electricity distribution and Amersham International ... plus more.
And still ran a deficit.'"
Well, it took a lot of money to create benefit dependency in entire communities.
On the deficits – taking your point. I also remember Sally C posting some really excellent stuff on how governments in general have run deficits. He also gave (or provided links to) stats etc. Unfortunately, I don't have them.
I do have a PowerPoint presentation by a specialist in local government on data or over a century plus, but I wouldn't have the first clue about how to host it somewhere. If I work it out, I'll post a link.
It's also always worth reminding some people (not you) that when Labour took office, there was a lot of disrepair in schools and hospitals that needed dealing with.
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| Quote ="Big Graeme"No it doesn't.'"
Yes it does. It was introduced by the last Labour government. HTH
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| Quote ="Mintball"So Brown was to blame for Lehman Brothers etc? And the financial crisis in the UK was completely isolated and unconnected from the global financial crisis?
Yerr ... 'cos that there TUC only got data from them there councils, and them there councils all told porkies so those aren't facts ...
Yerr ...
If you try harder, you might manage to avoid looking like such a complete twerp.'"
What has Lehmann bros got to do with anything? There wasn't a global financial crisis.
The TUC collected information & PROJECTED what they THINK MAY happen. They did not gather then present actual facts.
Just another knee jerk reaction from the left to a cut in public spending.
The spare room subsidy is already in use in private housing, what's the issue with extending it to save taxpayers money?
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| Quote ="Mintball"No, no: that's wrong. He never ever dodges questions. And he asserts this, so it must be true.'"
Correct, well done you. Assert? Nope, I deal in facts, not emotive scare tactics
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| Quote ="BiffasBoys"What has Lehmann bros got to do with anything? There wasn't a global financial crisis.
'"
Brilliant.
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| Quote ="El Barbudo"She had the income from North Sea Oil (to begin with) and then the funds from selling-off British Gas, British Airways, British Aerospace, British Airports, BP, Britoil, Enterprise Oil, British Steel, the Docks, British Telecom, Jaguar Land Rover, Rolls Royce (aero engines), Cable and Wireless, 10 Water Boards, Electricity generating, Electricity distribution and Amersham International ... plus more.
And still ran a deficit.'"
Was there no North Sea Oil revenue pre Thatcher? If yes, what was it spent on? How much was it per annum?
What was the deficit pre Thatcher?
All these industries you mention. How profitable were they? What level of subsidy did they require? What were they worth? How much were they sold for? How do they compare now to then?
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