My opinion is No he wont and im also not a great fan of his, i had a small debate about this when the festival was on.

Most People I Know Are On War Of Attrition Although I Am Yet To Decide...

Unlucky for then then!

I think Maljimar is in due to War Of Attrition pulling out, quite fancy his chances.

Fancy Al Eile in the Aintree Hurdle on Saturday.
Was given the tip by an Irish Bloke on the train to the course last year and ignored it ... Won!

Won't be ignoring it this time round.

Yeah Just Seen That On Now!...
I Think One I Have To Go With Is My Will Due To The Ruby Walsh Factor If Anything...
Probably Have A Dabble On Offshore Account And Maybe Cornish Sett With Fundamentalist Aswell...

My Top 4 Selections:

1. My Will
2. Offshore Account
3. Cornish Sett
4. Fundamentalist

@ War Of Attrition

That was one of the most ridiculous "gambles" I have ever seen. I would have happily taken the liabilities on people wanting to back it over the past fortnight.

The National is a waste of time and not a race I will never have a serious bet in. I had Comply or Die last year but only made a small profit due to having savers on 3 others

not a waste of time. ok the race is for the mug punter like myself but the spectacle of seeing 40 horses jumping the big fences is 1 of the best in sport. hope all horses and jockeys come back safe

Time to polish me pin up

It's easy enough to narrow it down to a few serious contenders.

Rule out the following:

Horses who have fallen or unseated this season

Horses aged 6 or those aged 12 and over

Those who have completed in previous Nationals


Positives: Form over the National fences.

Fancy Denman in the Bowl and Voy Pur in the Melling.

Yeah you are right, waste of time from a punting view (unless you follow CP's guide

) but reasonable entertainment I suppose.

Do you buy into this 11 stone thing too?

Not so much these days with the compressed handicap, think I read a stat a while back that in the last 10 years one of the top two weights has placed each year.

remember the old saying "they dont give weight to donkeys"

Eh?

becher chase and other races at national meeting over national fences

2002 - montys pass 2nd in a race over fences then won national in 2003

2002

- amberleigh house won becher chase. won national in 2004

2004 - silver birch won becher chase. won national in 2007

probably others also

Where would the casual punter be able to get this info from ?

Yes, I gather all that. I just think that ruling out horses who have previously completed slightly contradicts the form over the fences bit.

Amberleigh House was placed the year before it won;
Hedgehunter fell at the last one year, won it the next and was 2nd the next;
West Tip placed three times after winning it;
Monty's Pass was placed the year after it won;
Party Politics placed subsequent to winning

I could probably go on. But won't

Racing Post and/or Sporting Life websites would be good places to start.

When is final declaration?

im guessing top 40 will now be in + 4 reserves

10 a.m. Thursday.

As the ground is said to be drying out (and going against my Southern Vic fancy) ive gone in again on Parson's Legacy today. Took 33s early this morning and its now best priced 20s.

Now strongly fancy Can't Buy Time as a very decent e/w shout.

Good Weight, Age, Trainer - Just Hope McCoy doesn't ride him.