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| Quote ="The Angry Pirate"It is the floating voters that they have alienated, who will not be able to tell the difference between them and the Tories....These people will simply fall into the Tory or Labour camp, seeing the Lib Dems as simply a puppet for the largest party.
Make no mistake, any success this coalition has will be credited to Cameron, especially by the Pro-Tory media.'"
Im not so sure, with the size of the egos in politics whoever has the idea will be shouting from the rooftops 'that one was mine'
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No, that's pretty accurate, but it's got naff all to do with socialism.
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No, that's pretty accurate, but it's got naff all to do with socialism.
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| Please all those who went into the polling stations and were confused when they didn't see 'CLEGG' on the polling card.
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| Quote ="The Angry Pirate"Not a chance....The Lib Dems are now consigned to a distant 3rd place forever after this deal with the Tories.
It is actually a godsend for the Labour Party, who will now recover all those disillusioned voters who voted for the Lib Dems and now who will feel soiled that they have actually helped to install a Tory administration.
As long as Labour get the right leader ( maybe 1 of the Millibannds, but definitely not Balls), and conduct a dignified, but effective opposition to the coalition, then they may even get back into government at the first attempt.
The Lib Dems should enjoy their moment in the sun, as from now on they can look forward to a regular thrashing in the polls, as people realise that British politics is truly a 2 horse race, and that a vote for Clegg's lot is no different to placing your X next to the Conservatives or the Labour party.'"
You could reverse NuLiebour for the Tories in the above if Labours craven attempt to remain in power had succeeded - at least there was a bit of dignity remaining within some of the Labs to read the writing on the wall and push Gordon out of the door gracefully.
Quote ="The Angry Pirate"It is the floating voters that they have alienated, who will not be able to tell the difference between them and the Tories....These people will simply fall into the Tory or Labour camp, seeing the Lib Dems as simply a puppet for the largest party.
Make no mistake, any success this coalition has will be credited to Cameron, especially by the Pro-Tory media.'"
And these will be the floating voters that flocked to the Libs from the Labs in their droves? The Libs increased their share of the vote by 1%, Labs share fell by 6.2% so those angry and dissullusioned floating voters will be flocking back to Labour will they - all 68,000 of them??
Will admit that Clegg played a blinder and got more than he should have been given but Cameron was seemingly desperate to get in the door and get on with it/in to power. What happens next will happen but surely to God in can't be any worse than more of the "........ let's simply chuck money at it crap" that Blairs mob came up with.
[size=85No more Mandleson!!![/size
[size=50*cracks open bottle of coalition nettle champagne[/size
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| Interesting to see that the inheritance tax reduction pledge got shelved straight away!
All that earnest talk from Cameron about wanting to reward families who "work hard, save hard and do the right thing, its the most natural human instinct in the world to want to leave something to your children". I did think this might be a bluff at the time because its not really affordable at the moment, but I can imagine that was quite a vote winning policy for the Tories so there will be some people who feel a bit cheated that the first day Cameron comes into no.10 that one gets put back to the "probably can't be achieved in this Parliament" category.
The other small print is that they are actually putting National Insurance up next year. The whole fuss about the "jobs tax" and how they were going to save businesses and save the recovery etc amounts to them keeping the employers part of NI contributions at the same level Labour had it....whilst putting the employees part (ie what we pay) up by 1%.
A good move is their plan to increase Capital Gains tax from the current level of 18% to take it up to 40%, that should stop some of the aggressive money-makes-more-money approach of people who are lucky enough to own property, so use it to buy more, watch the value rise, and sell at a huge profit, then finance more property purchasing etc. This has been a big reason behind the housing shortage and the real difficulty young people face in getting on the property ladder. Whether or not traditional Tory voters will welcome this as much as me is another matter though!
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| Quote ="Monmouth Wire"And these will be the floating voters that flocked to the Libs from the Labs in their droves? The Libs increased their share of the vote by 1%, Labs share fell by 6.2% so those angry and dissullusioned floating voters will be flocking back to Labour will they - all 68,000 of them??
[size=85No more Mandleson!!![/size
[size=50*cracks open bottle of coalition nettle champagne[/size'"
Admitidly this is according to the Labour Party, but they say that people have been joining them in record numbers over the past couple of days.
It doesn't seem unreasonable that people who voted Lib Dem in an effort to keep the Tories out of Government would be put off from ever voting Lib Dem again, along with those people who voted Lib Dem in very safe Labour seats by way of a protest vote but would have voted Labour if it had been a marginal might be swayed from ever voting Lib Dem again.
Not to mention those party activists who definitely sit to the left of the party rather than the right, it seems safe to assume that at least some of them wouldn't be too happy.
It also seems much more difficult now for the Lib Dems to sell themselves a real third party alternative, now they are much more the extension of one of the main parties.
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| I would have thought that Liberal voters would be very happy - as they've got a Liberal government. There is absolutely nothing conservative about Cameron or this government.
A Tory led government is proposing to scrap the House of Lords, and bring in fixed term parliaments (a very republican measure) which will mean we create 5 year elected dictatorships with no hope of ever getting rid of poor governments - it also takes away the Queen's prerogative.
Google - contract for equality Tories - and tell me what is 'right' wing or conservative about that.
This is a left wing government - it might not be socialist but then neither was the last one. The only change we've had is in the colour of the party governing.
If you are a liberal, I would have thought you'd be dancing in the streets. It's those that voted Conservative or believe in more conservative principles that should be upset / concerned.
Also - to counter Sally's point on CGT - not everyone that has a second property etc. is out on some greed fest - most people I know that have done that have done is so they can be self-sufficient in retirement - given Brown taxed the pension funds, interest rates are next to nothing. So as ever - if you try and provide for yourself and not want to rely on the state - you are penalised. (I don't own 2 properties for the record.)
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| Quote ="ChiswickWire"
Also - to counter Sally's point on CGT - not everyone that has a second property etc. is out on some greed fest - most people I know that have done that have done is so they can be self-sufficient in retirement - given Brown taxed the pension funds, interest rates are next to nothing. So as ever - if you try and provide for yourself and not want to rely on the state - you are penalised. (I don't own 2 properties for the record.)'"
For most people from my generation though, getting one property is a pipedream never mind two, there is no way we can be self-sufficient in retirement - we will still be having to pay rent out of our pensions unless we can qualify for housing benefit to help. If you are fortunate enough to be able to inherit property, then you have the capital available to buy property and can take advantage of the capital gains, but if you aren't from a rich family you have virtually no chance of ever getting on if you are unmarried because you only have one income and house prices are just too far ahead of incomes.
According to the Institute of Fiscal Studies, the median income is about a net income (after income and council tax) of £265 a week, ie £13780 a year. 50% of the population has a lower income than that and 50% has a higher income. If you're in the 50% of the population with an income below that, its very difficult to get on the housing ladder and get a mortgage plus contribute to a pension plan which would take £25-30 a week out of that income, so you just get stuck renting and can never hope to profit from the gains in the property market which richer people seem to think everybody gets.
It gets patronising when people start talking about those on benefits and pensioners on state pensions as people who didn't "do the right thing" as though they've lived a life of being spendthrifts, most of them have been doing the right thing trying to feed their kids and there was never anything left over for anything else. When the lucky ones have gained so extravagantly from booming property prices its only right that we start to focus efforts on those without, otherwise the reality we will see in about 30 years is a large proportion of the retired population homeless and sat on the streets begging like you get in Third World countries, because they'll have had a life of working hard for little reward and have neither property nor significant pension at the end of it.
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| Quote ="sally cinnamon"For most people from my generation though, getting one property is a pipedream never mind two, there is no way we can be self-sufficient in retirement - we will still be having to pay rent out of our pensions unless we can qualify for housing benefit to help. If you are fortunate enough to be able to inherit property, then you have the capital available to buy property and can take advantage of the capital gains, but if you aren't from a rich family you have virtually no chance of ever getting on if you are unmarried because you only have one income and house prices are just too far ahead of incomes.
Understand that but not everyone who has bought a second property has done it out of inherited wealth. Also the people doing this aren't 'rich' on the whole.
According to the Institute of Fiscal Studies, the median income is about a net income (after income and council tax) of £265 a week, ie £13780 a year. 50% of the population has a lower income than that and 50% has a higher income. If you're in the 50% of the population with an income below that, its very difficult to get on the housing ladder and get a mortgage plus contribute to a pension plan which would take £25-30 a week out of that income, so you just get stuck renting and can never hope to profit from the gains in the property market which richer people seem to think everybody gets.
I do agree with you that there is an expectation that property value will go up - The Office for National Statistics' Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) has it at figure of £20,801, across all employee jobs.Nonetheless it is difficult to get on the housing ladder but given the size of land we have and the number of people i.e. the demand will outstrip demand I'm not sure what can be done about it.
It gets patronising when people start talking about those on benefits and pensioners on state pensions as people who didn't "do the right thing" as though they've lived a life of being spendthrifts, most of them have been doing the right thing trying to feed their kids and there was never anything left over for anything else. When the lucky ones have gained so extravagantly from booming property prices its only right that we start to focus efforts on those without, otherwise the reality we will see in about 30 years is a large proportion of the retired population homeless and sat on the streets begging like you get in Third World countries, because they'll have had a life of working hard for little reward and have neither property nor significant pension at the end of it.'"
I didn't refer to people on benefits or pensions as having not done the right thing and nowhere did I infer it. I was pointing out that the system in this country penalises people for trying to look after themselves - people that didn't get into debt / saved money are now penalised by a low interest rate. With pensioners being the hardest hit. And I agree the ticking time bomb of an ageing population is there which is why we shouldn't penalise those people that are able to try and provide for themselves to leave those that as you rightly say haven't had the means to do so.
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| Quote ="ChiswickWire"I didn't refer to people on benefits or pensions as having not done the right thing and nowhere did I infer it.'"
sorry should have made it clear I was talking in general terms not referring to you
I agree with your other points including the post before about this being more a Liberal than Conservative government, although it may turn more right wing in nature regarding the cuts.
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| No problem - thanks for clarifying.
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| So 18 months on....
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| ....the rich are getting richer and the poor are getting poorer.
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| dont matter whos got their legs in at number 10 our lives wont fair any better....glad i did`nt vote lifes too short to give these cretins a minute of my time..
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| I don't like saying this but I told you so, the tories always rob the working class!
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| Since June 2010 the economy has got worse not better.
In June 2010 the unemployment rate was 7.8% of the working age population, now its 8.1%, which is the highest its been since 1996 (the last year of the last Tory government). Youth unemployment is now the highest its been since 1992 (the last time the Tories won an election outright). The Tories made a big issue of youth unemployment at the last election, saying it was Labour's legacy of failure for the young people, this has dropped off the Tory agenda now that they are seeing it is going up.
In June 2010 inflation was 3.2%, now its 5.2%, which is the highest its been since 1991. Compare that to earnings growth which is 2.8% which means average real incomes have fallen about 2.3% in the past year.
In the year up to June 2010 the economy grew 2.2%. In the past year it has grown 0.5%, despite George Osborne titling his Budget this year as "A budget for growth".
As regards progress on deficit reduction, in the financial year to date expenditure is 2.9% higher than it was at this point last year (although taking into consideration inflation of 5.2% that is a cut in real terms). But tax revenues are 4.9% higher than they were at this point last year, so there has been some closing of the primary deficit. Tax receipts have risen despite there being fewer taxpayers and more benefit claimants, the reason it's higher is because of the rise in VAT and also the top 50% tax rate which Alastair Darling brought in but has mainly been collected by a Tory government. A lot of Osborne's Tory chums have been lobbying the press to cut that 50% tax rate saying it loses money for the exchequer because all the rich leave for Switzerland etc but Osborne has been reticent on actually cutting it because he knows that it is bringing revenue in.
The Coalition government have taken the UK government backwards and they haven't got a convincing plan to move forwards. All George Osborne clings to is saying that the yield on UK government bonds (ie the interest rate at which the government can borrow) has fallen, which it has, but the interest rate on bonds also reflects market expectations as to interest rates in the economy, when they expect interest rates to be low for the long term then 5 year and 10 year bond yields will drop. They are going to be low because there is no expectation that the Bank of England will put them up to try and deflate a boom. If the economy was looking healthier then these rates would go up. So Osborne is claiming a success for something that is just a reflection of the fact international markets have written off the UK economy as being in the doldrums for a while ahead.
I am not saying things would be great had Labour won the last election but a hard analysis of the facts are that the economy has slipped slightly backwards since the Coalition has taken over.
In rugby league terms its like Mick Potter replacing Steve McNamara at Bradford. There is no noticeable improvement, but if Potter blamed Steve McNamara every time Bradford lost it would start wearing thin after a while, and that's what the Coalition are doing.
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| Was an excellent election for Labour to lose.
The Lib Dems are finished as an even barely credible political party at national level.
It's a pity Labour went for the wrong Miliband brother, though.
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| The most striking thing is that there is no real plan or vision for growth - where should we target investment? Where is the plan to reduce our dependency on rogue states for energy and to ensure that in 20 years time we don't have to have blackouts? Instead we get Chris Huhne blathering on about wind power which doesn't produce enough electricity to power the light bulb in my front room.
Which industries are we looking to build to help us in the future?
Outside of Cameron's bizarre pet project of reducing the train times from London to Birmingham by 5 minutes, I've yet to see any coherent plan at all or ideas being put forward. If we're building new railways - let's bring back a few branch lines not something which will actually mean Birmingham is worse off as it will just become another commuter zone into London and the SE.
There is no clear vision (from any party) of where the country or the economy should be heading.
Basically it's all pretty depressing!! My main hope is that the Tory backbenchers grow a pair and actually break way from the Tory party (a la SDP) and that we then might get some break up in the liberal consensus that currently dominates British politics. I'm not sure Labour would last much longer on the back of that as they're just as split with the likes of Frank Field would have more in common with the breakaway Tories and the Millibands and their like can join their rich liberal chums in Cameron and Clegg.
We might actually get some choices in an election then rather than different coloured rosettes.
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| Quote ="ChiswickWire"The most striking thing is that there is no real plan or vision for growth - where should we target investment? Where is the plan to reduce our dependency on rogue states for energy and to ensure that in 20 years time we don't have to have blackouts? Instead we get Chris Huhne blathering on about wind power which doesn't produce enough electricity to power the light bulb in my front room.
Which industries are we looking to build to help us in the future?
Outside of Cameron's bizarre pet project of reducing the train times from London to Birmingham by 5 minutes, I've yet to see any coherent plan at all or ideas being put forward. If we're building new railways - let's bring back a few branch lines not something which will actually mean Birmingham is worse off as it will just become another commuter zone into London and the SE.
There is no clear vision (from any party) of where the country or the economy should be heading.
Basically it's all pretty depressing!! My main hope is that the Tory backbenchers grow a pair and actually break way from the Tory party (a la SDP) and that we then might get some break up in the liberal consensus that currently dominates British politics. I'm not sure Labour would last much longer on the back of that as they're just as split with the likes of Frank Field would have more in common with the breakaway Tories and the Millibands and their like can join their rich liberal chums in Cameron and Clegg.
We might actually get some choices in an election then rather than different coloured rosettes.'"
If we had that system it would be pretty much like European politics with a large number of parties and you end up with coalitions of a centre-right party needing to pander to some unpleasant right wingers or of a centre-left party needing to keep the Greens onside. Not saying that it's wrong just that it would bring us much more in line with the European norm.
Really in terms of winning an election, dominating the centre-left ground is key as that is where the British electorate is. Margaret Thatcher won three elections on 40-42% of the vote, with about 52-56% voting for Labour and the SDP/Liberal Alliance but the Alliance had a big share back then (23-25% or so) and so it split the vote. But when Blair established Labour in that ground he won three elections quite comfortably. There is the chance for that now as the Lib Dem vote will shrink in 2015, it just depends on where those votes go. If they go off to the Greens then the Tories might sneak a small overall majority. If they go to Labour then Labour will win because switching Lib Dem votes over to Labour in a lot of seats knocks out Tory MPs. I think with David Miliband Labour would have no problems winning in 2015 but they will find it tough with Ed who just doesn't seem cut out for the job. He might fall just short like Kinnock in 92.
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| I agree that Labour chose the wrong Miliband. He just doesn't look or sound credible enough and as shallow as that sounds, a good percentage of the electorate are influenced by these things rather than policies.
As for Clegg, well he's proving very useful as Cameron's fall guy. Lying to the voters about tuition fees started his slow death and it seems that he and the Liberals are taking more than their fair share of the blame related to the Coalitions failures.
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| Quote ="worthing wire"Was an excellent election for Labour to lose.
The Lib Dems are finished as an even barely credible political party at national level.
It's a pity Labour went for the wrong Miliband brother, though.'"
I reckon labour are playing/will play a fine political ploy.
Ed Milliband is the classic political stooge. He is carrying the can for the unpopularity of the previous government. When this finally subsides (another 18 months I reckon) and the public at large start to really turn on the coalition, Labour will wheel out D Milliband to front up towards the next general election.
I couldn't agree more about the Lib Dems. Clegg's 15 minutes of media, not political, fame has set them back years. Clegg is knackered next time round, he is a political dead man walking in Sheffield as a Lib Dem MP. What chances he gets a Conservative safe seat to contest?
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| Quote ="getdownmonkeyman"I reckon labour are playing/will play a fine political ploy.
Ed Milliband is the classic political stooge. He is carrying the can for the unpopularity of the previous government. When this finally subsides (another 18 months I reckon) and the public at large start to really turn on the coalition, Labour will wheel out D Milliband to front up towards the next general election.
I couldn't agree more about the Lib Dems. Clegg's 15 minutes of media, not political, fame has set them back years. Clegg is knackered next time round, he is a political dead man walking in Sheffield as a Lib Dem MP. What chances he gets a Conservative safe seat to contest?'"
I don't think David Miliband will be the next leader.
There's a possibility Ed will go but I think if it's before the next election it will be Yvette Cooper that replaces him.
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| Quote ="sally cinnamon"I don't think David Miliband will be the next leader.
There's a possibility Ed will go but I think if it's before the next election it will be Yvette Cooper that replaces him.'"
As daft as this sounds, Cooper's relationship with Balls, allied to his standing in the last government may be her undoing.
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Quote ="getdownmonkeyman"As daft as this sounds, Cooper's relationship with Balls, allied to his standing in the last government may be her undoing.'"
Can't see that - I think she's a strong enough character on her own to be able to distance herself from her marriage, as a certain Hillary Clinton has been able to do. The Labour Party must retain confidence in Ed Miliband for the next few years at least, and all figures being talked about as potential leaders must do so emphatically also, as not to appear sneaky and disloyal. If with a year to go to an Election the Labour Party is not poised to take power again, then will be the time to ask questions, but as the article I've attached from the Guardian discusses and the paragraph included highlights - the Labour Party under Ed Miliband is in a pretty strong position and the party's tainted reputation for economic competence will heal over time.
As for the Coalition - this time last year it was the Lib Dems who were public enemy number one, with the Tories perfectly content to allow them to feel the full force of public anger. However at present we are seeing initial signs of the Conservative Party unravelling: Liam Fox and his Corruption, A rebellion on Europe (An issue which I think he will be forced to face again soon enough), Troubled relations with the French (We may not like them, but we need to work with them, especially in tough economic times), Stupidly insensitive comment in reference to Hillsborough, and I could be here for another week reeling off a list of mistakes and critiques of the Coalition Govt.
Ultimately - we heard David Cameron become practiced in his snide remarks during his years in opposition, promising a new, cleaner politics and he still acts the same old spineless way. He is the Prime Minister but still he is too content to pass the blame and make snide (even sexist) remarks in the Commons and pass the blame with the now getting very weak excuse of 'It's Labour's fault'. I'd say he is still acting like he's running for election/in opposition instead of actually leading, a message i'd also apply to Barack Obama.
I think the Coalition will last its course, out of necessity more than in blissful happiness, as I think if in two years time the country is still in dire straits and the cuts are being applied even more callously then the Lib Dems (unquestionably) and even the Tories will be in big trouble. You fight a general election on your record in office and Mr Cameron's at present is full of criticism.
Guardian Article: www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree ... d-miliband
'In an election now, the leading psephologist Professor John Curtice reckons Labour could win outright. After the boundary changes, they would still be the biggest party in a hung parliament, gaining most from the Lib Dem collapse. It worries many in Labour ranks that as yet they have made no inroads into the Tory vote, but even so Curtice still gives Labour the winning edge. To be ahead at all is, he reckons, not bad only 18 months from a car-crash election, and he remarks on Labour's uncharacteristic freedom from serious internal discord.'
'Labour is in a stronger position than many within it quite realise. Apart from the two Eds, others often have a nervous air, lacking an instinct for the jugular or vociferous enough outrage at the injustice being inflicted. Christmas will be hard as many more families see lost jobs. I will be back in January, hoping that Osborne and Cameron will be forced to turn back and go for growth – not in windy words but in deeds.'
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Quote ="getdownmonkeyman"As daft as this sounds, Cooper's relationship with Balls, allied to his standing in the last government may be her undoing.'"
Can't see that - I think she's a strong enough character on her own to be able to distance herself from her marriage, as a certain Hillary Clinton has been able to do. The Labour Party must retain confidence in Ed Miliband for the next few years at least, and all figures being talked about as potential leaders must do so emphatically also, as not to appear sneaky and disloyal. If with a year to go to an Election the Labour Party is not poised to take power again, then will be the time to ask questions, but as the article I've attached from the Guardian discusses and the paragraph included highlights - the Labour Party under Ed Miliband is in a pretty strong position and the party's tainted reputation for economic competence will heal over time.
As for the Coalition - this time last year it was the Lib Dems who were public enemy number one, with the Tories perfectly content to allow them to feel the full force of public anger. However at present we are seeing initial signs of the Conservative Party unravelling: Liam Fox and his Corruption, A rebellion on Europe (An issue which I think he will be forced to face again soon enough), Troubled relations with the French (We may not like them, but we need to work with them, especially in tough economic times), Stupidly insensitive comment in reference to Hillsborough, and I could be here for another week reeling off a list of mistakes and critiques of the Coalition Govt.
Ultimately - we heard David Cameron become practiced in his snide remarks during his years in opposition, promising a new, cleaner politics and he still acts the same old spineless way. He is the Prime Minister but still he is too content to pass the blame and make snide (even sexist) remarks in the Commons and pass the blame with the now getting very weak excuse of 'It's Labour's fault'. I'd say he is still acting like he's running for election/in opposition instead of actually leading, a message i'd also apply to Barack Obama.
I think the Coalition will last its course, out of necessity more than in blissful happiness, as I think if in two years time the country is still in dire straits and the cuts are being applied even more callously then the Lib Dems (unquestionably) and even the Tories will be in big trouble. You fight a general election on your record in office and Mr Cameron's at present is full of criticism.
Guardian Article: www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree ... d-miliband
'In an election now, the leading psephologist Professor John Curtice reckons Labour could win outright. After the boundary changes, they would still be the biggest party in a hung parliament, gaining most from the Lib Dem collapse. It worries many in Labour ranks that as yet they have made no inroads into the Tory vote, but even so Curtice still gives Labour the winning edge. To be ahead at all is, he reckons, not bad only 18 months from a car-crash election, and he remarks on Labour's uncharacteristic freedom from serious internal discord.'
'Labour is in a stronger position than many within it quite realise. Apart from the two Eds, others often have a nervous air, lacking an instinct for the jugular or vociferous enough outrage at the injustice being inflicted. Christmas will be hard as many more families see lost jobs. I will be back in January, hoping that Osborne and Cameron will be forced to turn back and go for growth – not in windy words but in deeds.'
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