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Match Preview: Leeds (A) 05.04.08 @ Headingley
Posted by Bilko on April 02 2008 - 20:48

Leeds Rhinos v Wigan Warriors. Engage Super League XIII Round 10.
Saturday 5th April 2008. Kick Off 6:00pm at Headingley.

How the hell are we supposed to stop Leeds? - they are top of everything at the moment, and by far!

Top of Super League by 4 points.
Best Attack - Scoring almost 6 points more than anyone else per game.
Best Defence - Conceding almost 9 points less than anyone else per game.
Best Home Record - Only Wigan match their 100% Home Record
Best Away Record - Only away defeat was at Castleford
Best First Half Performances - Won 7 of 9 First Halves
Best Second Half Performances - Won 7 of 9 Second Halves
And they top the Last 6 Match Form Table as well.

Recently they have reduced St Helens, Bradford, Harlequins, Hull and Melbourne to a combined total of 20 points. Despite this being 1st v 3rd one bookmaker is offering Wigan a 14 point start on the handicap bet.

But a ray of hope. They did lose to bottom of the table Castleford by 38-20 back in Round 5 - which is still the Tigers only win of the season.

Everything points to a daunting task but we have to remember we beat Leeds on 3 of 4 occasions last year - including two wins at Headingley, In fact take out our abysmal 2005 and 2006 campaigns and our Headingley record is pretty good.

The key to victory for me is to keep the scoreline tight. The years have proved, especially at Headingley, that Leeds generally fade in tight matches. They like to take control early and not have to chase the game.

1997 - Leeds 16 Wigan 17
2003 - Leeds 24 Wigan 24
2003 - Leeds 24 Wigan 24
2003 - Leeds 22 Wigan 23
2006 - Leeds 18 Wigan 20
2007 - Leeds 18 Wigan 20
2007 - Leeds 18 Wigan 22

There is 7 of our 11 Headingley Super League results in which we've had to win or draw tight - 3 of them very recent.

To have any chance we've got to be good on penalties (hard with Ganson in charge), make sure we complete sets - and don't be afraid to simply find touch on the last tackle. Keep that South Stand quiet, frustrate Leeds and on the back of that frustration they'll concede penalties and give us a chance. I can only see us winning if we do this.

Deep down though I expect a rampant Rhinos to steam-roller us lol. My statistical prediction comes up with Leeds by 20-22 points!! Maybe about right - we shall see.

But at the end of the day, even if they do get hammered, I keep saying it we'll be in the top 6 having played some very tough away matches. Not easy to lose/get hammered at Warrington, St Helens and Leeds but at least we'll be up there with our Lancashire rivals having them still to come to the JJB.

Key Absentees

Wigan: Gareth Hock (broken hand), Paul Prescott (medial ligaments), Karl Pryce (foot).

Leeds: Clinton Toopi (shoulder), Danny McGuire (thigh), Ian Kirke (hamstring), Ashley Gibson

Match Referee

Steve Ganson (St Helens) - Age 38
First Pro Game: Barrow v Carlisle - August 27th 1995
First Super League Game: Castleford 22 Paris 18 - August 17th 1996

2008 Record with this Referee

Match Result Pens
Awarded
Pens
Against
Sin
Bins
Red
Cards
Warrington (A) Lost 20-32 13 15 McIlorum Mathers

Video Referee

Ben Thaler (Wakefield)

Current Super League XIII League Positions

  Team P W D L F A Diff Pts
1st Leeds Rhinos 9 8 0 1 284 90 +194 16
3rd Wigan Warriors 9 6 0 3 201 195 +6 12

Head to Head Records

Record P Wigan Leeds Draws Success
All Time 159 90 60 9 59.4%
All Time at Leeds 81 31 43 7 42.5%
Super League 37 19 15 3 55.4%
SL at Leeds 19 9 8 2 52.6%

Wigan Form Guide - Last Six Matches

Date Opposition Competition Result Score
28th March 2008 Wakefield (H) SL13 Round 9 Won 08-04
24th March 2008 Hull KR (H) SL13 Round 8 Won 18-12
21st March 2008 St Helens (A) SL13 Round 7 Lost 10-46
16th March 2008 Huddersfield (A) SL13 Round 6 Won 20-19
8th March 2008 Warrington (A) SL13 Round 5 Lost 20-32
1st March 2008 Bradford (H) SL13 Round 4 Won 28-14

Opposition Form Guide - Last Six Matches

Date Opposition Competition Result Score
28th March 2008 St Helens (A) SL13 Round 9 Won 14-10
24th March 2008 Hull FC (A) SL13 Round 8 Won 30-04
20th March 2008 Bradford (H) SL13 Round 7 Won 44-02
14th March 2008 Harlequins (H) SL13 Round 6 Won 44-00
7th March 2008 Castleford (A) SL13 Round 5 Lost 20-38
29th February 08 Melbourne (N) WC Challenge Won 11-04

Last 6 Results v Leeds Away

Date Opposition
5th Oct 2007 Leeds 36 Wigan 06 (SL Play Offs)
12th May 2007 Leeds 18 Wigan 22 (Challenge Cup)
10th April 2007 Leeds Rhinos 18 Wigan Warriors 20
11th Aug 2006 Leeds Rhinos 18 Wigan Warriors 20
8th June 2006 Leeds Rhinos 48 Wigan Warriors 22
18th June 2005 Leeds Rhinos 70 Wigan Warriors 00

Rankings

- Wigan Opposition
Attacking Rank 5th Best in League Best in League
Av. Points Scored Per Game 22.3 31.5
Tries Scored 33 51
Defensive Rank 4th Best in League Best in League
Av. Points Conceded Per Game 21.6 10
Tries Conceded 33 16
Home/Away Record 40% (5th Best Away) 100% Home Record

Super League 13 Stats

Top 6 Try Scorers
Wigan
Darrell Goulding 5
George Carmont 4
Liam Colbon 4
Pat Richards 3
Harrison Hansen 3
Mike McIlorum 3

Leeds
Scott Donald 9
Brent Webb 7
Rob Burrow 4
Lee Smith 4
Keith Senior 3
Jamie Jones-Buchanan 3

Top Goal Kickers
Wigan:
Pat Richards 34
Leeds: Kevin Sinfield 36

Goal Kick Success
Wigan:
35 from 45 attempts - 77.7%
Leeds: 34 from 46 attempts - 73.9%

Top Points Scorers
Wigan:
Pat Richards 78 (3 tries, 34 goals)
Leeds: Kevin Sinfield 80 (2 tries, 36 goals)

Hot

George Carmont: Scored 3 tries in 5 away matches this season
Liam Colbon: 3 tries in last 5 matches.

Cold

Mick Higham: Failed to score in his last 28 Super League away matches (Apr 06).
Stuart Fielden: Failed to score in his last 35 matches home or away (Feb 07).
Sean O'Loughlin: Failed to score in his last 14 away matches (May 07)

Ticket Details

This Match is not All Ticket but tickets can be bought in advance from the JJB Stadium Ticket Office. Tickets are priced at £18 for adults and £12 for concessions (over 60’s, students and juniors under 16). Away fans usually congregate at the Western Terrace end of the ground which includes the scoreboard and the Sky Sports big screen.

Headingley Carnegie Information

Directions By Car from Wigan & All Directions: Take the M62, followed by the M621, exiting at junction 2, which is signposted Headingley Stadium. Follow the A643 (A58) Wetherby Road and, at the next roundabout, take the City Centre/Wetherby A58 exit. Almost immediately, bear left to Ilkley (A65) and the airport. At the lights, with TGI Friday on your left, turn left onto Kirkstall Road (A65).Proceed ahead for 0.75 miles (Yorkshire Television is on the right). There is a sign at the traffic lights saying "Headingley, 1.5 miles." Stay in the right hand lane. Turn right and go up the hill to another set of traffic lights at the crossroads. Carry straight on up Cardigan Road (The Co-op is on the left). After the pedestrian lights and bus stop, turn left into St Michaels Lane, signposted Headingley Stadium. The Stadium is on the right hand side.

Car Parking: The ground has plently of side street parking with few restrictions.

Directions By Train: To go to Leeds by train you will first need to get a train to Manchester Piccadilly from Wigan Wallgate - then ince at Piccadilly connect to a First Trans Pennine Express to Leeds (Do not get the Manchester Victoria to Leeds train - it takes an eternity to get there). Leeds Station is situated in Leeds City Centre. Headingley is a cheap taxi ride away - there will be plenty of Taxis outside Leeds Station.

Local Pubs: There are plenty of pubs in the Headingley area. I recommend the Original Oak  The Oak has three bars which are usually more than adequately staffed to deal with the hordes descending on them. It also has a massive beer garden outside if we are lucky enough to get nice weather. There is also the Skyrack just across the road from the Oak.

UK Media Coverage

TV: 5:55pm on
Radio in Wigan: BBC Radio Manchester on 95.1FM will have Full Match Commentary from 6pm.
National Radio: No Coverage.
Radio at Match: BBC Radio Leeds on 92.4FM will have Full Match Commentary from 6pm.
Internet Audio: Click Here for Details

International TV Coverage

Country Type Date Local Time Channel
Middle East LIVE Sat 5 April 8:00pm Showtime Sports 3
New Zealand LIVE Sun 6 April 5:55am 3
Canada Delayed Tue 8 April 5:30am
USA Delayed Thu 10 April 5:30am
Australia Delayed Thu 10 April Check Listings

Away Match Betting Check with Oddschecker.com

Team Odds
Wigan 4/1
Leeds 1/6 (Fav)
Draw 25/1

Best Handicap Match Betting with Oddschecker.com

Wigan have a 14 point start at odds of 10/11 with Bet 365

More Markets with Oddschecker.com

Click Here

Weather Forecast

Click Here

Bilko's Statistical prediction.

The stats suggest a Leeds Rhinos win by 20-22 points.

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