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Match Preview: Leeds (A) - 1st June 2012 @ Headingley Carnegie Stadium
Posted by cherryandwhite on May 31 2012 - 13:05

Leeds Rhinos v Wigan Warriors - Stobart Super League XVII Round 16.
Friday 1st June 2012. Kick Off 8:00pm at Headingley Carnegie Stadium.

Match Preview

Most sides losing their equivalents of Pat Richards, Paul Prescott, Lee Mossop, Harrison Hansen, Gareth Hock, Stuart Fielden, Chris Tuson and Ben Flower would be on their arses ready to roll over and die before most games, never mind a trip to Leeds, but yet I'm still very confident we will go there an compete.

I mean, I don't think our 19 man squad is too bad considering. I think "Henderson" Gil Dudson has looked more that capable in the last few weeks and we still have Jeff Lima and Eric Lauaki up front. I'm quite content that either, or bothm Dom Crosby and Tom Spencer can do a job and Rhodri Lloyd has been Under 20s Player of the Season for me so far. He's scored 9 tries in 11 at that level and although perhaps still a bit raw for regular action, I think he is capable of a big one off, needs must, appearance. Put it this way, I'd be far more worried if we were suffering in the backs.

Don't get me wrong, I think a victory will be a big ask, but it's always a big ask at Headingley anyway. We do however have a good record at Leeds in recent times and also when the absences have been large.

Remember Huddersfield away last season? Sam Tomkins, Martin Gleeson, Pat Richards, Paul Deacon, Stuart Fielden, Joel Tomkins, Brett Finch and Eamon O'Carroll were all missing but we won quite comfortably by 20 points to 6.

Then on Good Friday this year we were missing Lee Mossop, Liam Farrell, Ben Flower, Eric Lauaki and Sean O'Loughlin from the pack yet still again won pretty comfortably by 28 points to 10.

So the omens are good in that regard but my actual gut feeling is that our poor goal kicking will catch up with us this week. Josh Charnley has certainly hit the wall with it following 9 failures from 14 attempts in the past fortnight. It's pretty remarkable that we've been able to get away with that, but I think the time has come for a change of goal kicker. Conversions are going to be important in the next fortnight so I think Sam Tomkins needs to step up. He can hardly do any worse surely?

Interestingly Wane has called up Under 20s goal kicker and top try scorer Jack Murphy to the 19 man squad, but I don't see him being involved unless someone is injured in the three quarters. I'd personally omit him and Logan Tomkins and go with Jeff Lima and Gil Dudson as starting props with Dom Crosby and Tom Spencer backing them up.

Then I'd start Jack Hughes and Liam Farrell in the back row with Eric Lauaki and Rhodri Lloyd as interchange options for them. Eric has been very much a "do a quiet job" type player this year but he needs to step up and really have a big game on Friday if we are to have a chance. The reason I'd start him on the bench is because I don't think we should put all our experienced options out to start with.

Bench impact is certainly important and it's been around the 20 minute mark in the past fortnight, when interchanges are coming into effect, that we've took control of those games. Huddersfield held us to nil for 20 minutes but by half time we had scored three tries. Last week just after Jeff Lima came on we claimed three quick tries on 19, 21 and 24 minutes that really took the game away from Saints. Granted we were already 12-0 up, and perhaps Lima's introduction was just co-incidence, but the point I'm making is that standards in intensity haven't been dropping when bench options have been used and that might not be the case this week. We might just have to hang in this game for a while and see what happens.

As for Leeds, well they are making a mockery at the moment of their "champions" tag. I still would argue they got far too easy a run to Old Trafford than a fifth place finish should warrant but the bare facts are that they have only won 23 out of 41 regular season games since Brian McDermott became coach. That's just a 56% win ratio!

Don't get me wrong, you can't argue against the fact that Leeds have won 4 of the last 5 Super League titles, you don't do that by fluke, but to me their appearances in both finals last year is masking that McDermott isn't doing a good job. Think you can easily argue they made those finals in spite of him rather than because of him. They wouldn't have come close to doing it had they not had the experience of doing it before.

I mean they obviously meet us in the cup semi finals again this year but they've barely been tested in progressing to meet us in that competition both this year and last. Cup draws for them have included Crusaders, Harlequins, Hull, Castleford, Wakefield, Salford and Leigh in the past two years whilst we've met St Helens twice and faced Warrington away. Would Leeds have got past both Saints and Warrington last year in the cup with McDermott as coach? I doubt it.

On their day though they are extremely formidable. I mean last year at Headingley they did a proper job on us really, and somehow we scratched an underserved 22-22 draw. Headingley is never an easy ground to go to but this current Leeds side don't look like they are being coached well at all mentally and I hope they are going to come out thinking they will just roll over our weakened pack. If they do I think they will be in for a big shock! We shall see! I'm certainly not going over to Leeds with any fears myself. Bring it on!

19 Man Squads

Wigan
IN:l Jack Hughes, Tom Spencer, Jack Murphy, Rhodri Lloyd
OUT:l Lee Mossop, Harrison Hansen, Gareth Hock, Chris Tuson
Fulll19:l

Sam Tomkins, Josh Charnley, Darrell Goulding, George Carmont, Brett Finch, Thomas Leuluai, Michael McIlorum, Sean O'Loughlin, Jeff Lima, Liam Farrell, Epalahame Lauaki, Gil Dudson, Anthony Gelling, Logan Tomkins, Dom Crosby, Jack Hughes, Jack Murphy, Tom Spencer, Jack Murphy, Rhodri Lloyd.

Leeds
IN:l Weller Hauraki
OUT:l Kallum Watkins
Fulll19:l

Brent Webb, Ben Jones-Bishop, Zak Hardaker, Ryan Hall, Danny McGuire, Rob Burrow, Kylie Leuluai, Jamie Peacock, Jamie Jones-Buchanan, Carl Ablett, Kevin Sinfield, Lee Smith, Brett Delaney, Ryan Bailey, Chris Clarkson, Weller Hauraki, Darrell Griffin, Richard Moore, Shaun Lunt.

Match Referee

James Child (Dewsbury) - Age 28
First Pro Game: Gateshead 54 Workington 6 - 17th April 2006
First Super League Game: Wakefield 30 Catalans 10 - 15th March 2009
First Wigan Game: Wigan 38 Crusaders 6 - 5th April 2010

Wigan's Record when this referee is appointed

Wigan have Won 9 and Lost 1 from 10 appointments.
This Season: Won 2 and Lost 0 from 2 appointments.

Video Referee

Ian Smith (Oldham)

Current Super League XVII League Positions

  Team P W D L F A Diff Pts
1st Wigan Warriors 15 12 0 3 540 245 +295 24
7th Leeds Rhinos 14 8 0 6 385 295 +90 16

Wigan v Leeds Player Stat Leaders

- Wigan Leeds League Leader
Top Try Scorer Josh Charnley 20

(3 Players) 11

Josh Charnley 20
Top Goal Scorer Pat Richards 41

Kevin Sinfield 55

Scott Dereau 63
Top Points Scorer Josh Charnley 140

Kevin Sinfield 117

S.Dereau/D.Tickle 154
Top Try Assister Brett Finch 16

Brent Webb 13

Rangi Chase 21
Top Metre Maker Sam Tomkins 1904m

Jamie Peacock 1541m

James Roby 2211m
Top Ball Carrier (2 Players) 253

Jamie Peacock 247

James Roby 464
Top Tackle Buster Sam Tomkins 87

Zak Hardaker 39

Sam Tomkins 87
Top Clean Breaker Sam Tomkins 21

Ryan Hall 17

Sam Tomkins 21
Top Offloader Gareth Hock 38

Jamie Peacock 31

Gareth Hock 38
Top Attacking Kicker Brett Finch 60

Kevin Sinfield 64

Rangi Chase 109
Top DH Runner Mike McIlorum 238

Rob Burrow 130

James Roby 421
Top Tackler Mike McIlorum 458

Brett Delaney 469

Danny Houghton 621
Top Marker Tackler Harrison Hansen 84

Brett Delaney 74

Danny Houghton 113
Worst Miss Tackler Mike McIlorum 28

Carl Ablett 29

D.Allen/K.Welham 40
Most Errors G.Hock/B.Finch 17

Zak Hardaker 20

Greg Eden 33
Most Pens Conceded Gareth Hock 17

Kevin Sinfield 13

Chris Bailey 18

Wigan v Leeds Team Stats Match Ups - Average Per Match

- Wigan Leeds League Best League Worst
Tries Per Match 6.53

4.85

Wigan 6.53

Widnes 2.46

 Tries Against Per Match 2.8

3.71

Wigan 2.8

Widnes 8.4

Points Per Match 36

27.5

Wigan 36

Widnes 14

Points Against Per Match 16.3

21

Wigan 16.3

Widnes 47.2

Metres Per Match 1422m

1315m

St Helens 1469m

Widnes 1067m

Ball Carries Per Match 216

202

St Helens 230

Widnes 170

Metres Per Ball Carry 6.57m

6.51m

Hudd'sfield 7.13m

Wakefield 5.93m

Tackle Busts Per Match 27.8

23.7

Huddersfield 28.1

Widnes 14.6

Clean Breaks Per Match 8.8

7

Wigan 8.8

Widnes 3.1

Offloads Per Match 9.1

13

Salford 15.1

London 6.8

Attacking Kicks Per Match 9.1

9.8

Castleford 13.4

Salford 7.6

Runs from DH Per Match 33.5

23.3

St Helens 44.6

Leeds 23.3

Total Tackles Per Match 286.6

306.5

Salford 311.7

Catalan 281.6

Marker Tackles Per Match 46.6

39.6

Warrington 46.9

Catalan 34.6

Missed Tackles Per Match 15.5

20

Wigan 15.5

Widnes 33.3

Errors Per Match 10.4

13.3

St Helens 9.8

Warrington 14.8

Pens Conceded Per Match 7.6

7.7

Castleford 7

Widnes 10

Super League Form Table Last Six Matches

- Team W D L F A Diff Pts Form
1 Wigan Warriors 6 0 0 230 78 +152 12
2 Warrington Wolves 5 0 1 250 98 +152 10
3 Catalan Dragons 5 0 1 209 138 +71 10
4 St Helens 4 0 2 175 112 +63 8
5 Hull Kingston Rovers 4 0 2 192 136 +56 8
6 Leeds Rhinos 4 0 2 165 127 +38 8
7 Bradford Bulls 3 1 2 127 107 +20 7
8 Huddersfield Giants 3 0 3 144 117 +27 6
9 Hull FC 3 0 3 130 148 -18 6
10 Wakefield Wildcats 3 0 3 118 182 -64 6
11 Castleford Tigers 2 0 4 126 202 -76 4
12 Salford City Reds 1 1 4 120 154 -34 3
13 London Broncos 0 0 6 96 217 -121 0
14 Widnes Vikings 0 0 6 66 292 -226 0

Super League Era Head to Head Record including Play Offs

Overall Played 49 Wigan 26 Wins Leeds 19 Wins 4 Draws
At Headingley Played 25 Wigan 12 Wins Leeds 10 Wins 3 Draws

Last Six Meetings at Headingley

Date Opposition Report
1st April 2011 Leeds Rhinos 22 Wigan Warriors 22 Click Here
12th Sept 2010 Leeds 06 Wigan 26 (Play Off Semi Final) Click Here
30th July 2010 Leeds Rhinos 12 Wigan Warriors 26 Click Here
29th May 2010 Leeds 12 Wigan 10 (Challenge Cup QF) Click Here
13th Mar 2009 Leeds Rhinos 34 Wigan Warriors 10 Click Here
26th Sept 2008 Leeds 18 Wigan 14 (Play Off Eliminator) Click Here

Hot & Cold Try Scoring Streaks

HOT:l SamlTomkins l 5 Tries in his last 4 appearances.
HOT:l JoshlCharnley l 7 Tries in his last 4 appearances.
HOT:l JoshlCharnley l 10 Tries in 8 away appearances this season.
HOT:l SeanlO'Loughlin l 3 Tries in his last 5 appearances.
HOT:l LiamlFarrell l Scored in each of his last 2 appearances.
HOT:l GeorgelCarmont l Scored in each of his last 2 appearances.
COLD:l MikelMcIlorum l No Tries in last 17 away games since Crusaders (A) - 1st May 2010
COLD:l EriclLauaki l Never Scored in 15 Wigan appearances so far
COLD:l JacklHughes l No Tries in his last 7 appearances since Catalan (H)

Ticket Details

Stand ConAdultsiors Concessions Under 16s
Western Terrace ?20 ?13 ?12

UK TV Coverage

Live Coverage Friday 7:30pm
Post Match Friday 10:00pm
1 Hour Highlights Friday Midnight
Red Button Replay Friday 1:00am
1 Hour Highlights Saturday 4:00am
Red Button Replay Saturday 5:00am
1 Hour Highlights Saturday 7:00am
Red Button Replay Saturday 8:00am
1 Hour Highlights Saturday 10:30am
Red Button Replay Saturday 11:30am
1 Hour Highlights Monday 6:00am
Red Button Replay Monday 7:00am
Free to Air Highlights Monday 11:50pm

International TV Coverage (All Times Local)

Australia LIVE Friday 5:00am (Sydney) Eurosport HD
UAE (Dubai) LIVE Friday 10:30pm OSN Sports 1 HD
Eqypt LIVE Friday 9:30pm OSN Sports 1 -
USA LIVE Friday 3:00pm (Eastern) Fox Soccer Plus HD
New Zealand Delay Saturday 6:00pm Maori Television -
Note: OSN Sports is Available across many countries in Middle East/North Africa.

Radio Commentary

102.4 Wish FM - Full Match Commentary from 8:00pm.

BBC Radio Manchester (95.1FM) - Main Commentary match whilst also carrying updates on Salford v Catalan.

Bilko's Statistical prediction.

The stats suggest a Wigan Win by 12-14 Points.

Weather Forecast

Cool but dry!

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